Tuesday, March 20, 2007

Towards the end

The recent weeks have witnessed intense diplomatic efforts from Morocco to lobby for its autonomy plan. Moroccan cabinet members have toured the world capitals (Washington, Paris, Moscow, Beijing, Ryad, Cairo, Tripoli, and others) to gather support for their plan. Polisario leader also came to New york and Washington while sending his foreign minister to Cuba. Regardless of what practical solution each party is suggesting, it seems that the Western Sahara is heading towards something.
A major pressure is being put by Morocco to adopt the autonomy and close the subject forever. If it happens, the Polisario may be in a difficult position. I suppose that Algeria will be too as it will be stuck with thousands of armed Polisario soldiers within its territory. Polisario may count on an uprising of its supporters withing the Moroccan controlled part of the Western Sahara, but there is no strong indication of their number and strength.
I personally think that the current population of the Western Sahara will be the decisive card in this issue. Who ever wins the heart of the sahrawis will win Western Sahara, so let's see who is smarter.

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